ALTHOUGH MODELS ARE NOT IN WONDERFUL AGREEMENT BEYOND MONDAY...ALL SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR A MAJOR AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING HIGH WIND EVENT FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION MON NIGHT OR TUE INTO AT LEAST WED NIGHT. AS STRONG SHORT WAVE ENERGY DIGS INTO THE GREAT BASIN MON NIGHT AND TUE...WINDS ALOFT INCREASE DRAMATICALLY ACROSS THE AREA...AND A GOOD AREA OF STRONG SUBSIDENCE SPREADS ACROSS THE REGION. WITH GOOD THERMAL PACKING AND COLD AIR ADVECTION...EXPECT WIDESPREAD STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP MON NIGHT...AND TRANSITION TO A MORE NELY DIRECTION TUE AND WED. WHILE THE EXACT DETAILS OF THE TIMING OF THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE STILL IN QUESTION...GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF THIS POTENTIAL WIND EVENT TO ONE OF THE BUSIEST TRAVEL DAYS OF THE YEAR AND THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY...IT SHOULD BE MONITORED EXTRA CAREFULLY BY INTERESTS IN SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA. ALTHOUGH IT APPEARS AS THOUGH IT WILL BE A COOL EVENT...WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY CREATE MUCH HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER. |
November 15, 2007
Uh oh.... So. Cal. may be in for another period of serious brush fire danger next week:
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