Why Iraq Will Win

Michael Hawkins at Spontaneous Arising found a distubing analysis by W.L. Floyd of the numerous guerilla factions in Iraq, the disposition of each, and how the U.S. has no chance in hell of winning because of them. Fascinating read. Snippet:

....The Iraqi guerrilla movement numbers over 50 independent cells. There is no charismatic resistance leader, and no drive for unity of the different cells. Among the members of the guerilla cadres, there are former fighters from Saddam's regime, religious and tribal leaders, as well as local big shots, and even gang leaders. The strength of the guerrillas is estimated at about 20,000 rebels. The US military has eliminated dozens of resistance cadres. But because of the 100,000 "accidental" civilian killings, together with countless civilians tortured at Abu Graib prison, many thousands of Iraqis victims have been pushed into the opposition. The top 12 guerrilla groups are: Ansar al-Islam (based in the Kurdish area, and friendly to Iran); Ansar al-Sunnah (Mosul mess hall, and also kidnapped and killed 12 Nepalese 8/23/04); the Khalid bin al-Walid brigade (probably kidnapped and assassinated the Italian journalist Enzo Baldoni, 8/04); the Assadullah brigades; the Saladin Front of the Iraqi Islamic Resistance; the Sayf Allah al-Maslu brigades (conducted dozens of operations against US forces in the Niwi province); the Black Banner Group (a Sunni movement active in Falluja); and the Islamic Army in Iraq (which released Iranian consul Feredion Jahani, as well as the two French journalists). Insurgents from the Mujahadeen Army, and the Mutassim Bellah Brigade kidnapped several contractors from a company called the Sandi Group. They said they would kill them if Sandi did not leave Iraq. Chad Knauss, the Sandi deputy chief operating officer, declined to comment. Sandi, based in Washington, employs 7,000 in Iraq. The most dangerous cadre is Jaish Muhammad (JM). JM is notoriously responsible for the August 2003 attack against the United Nations headquarters in Baghdad. JM has also been quite active in Falluja fighting U.S. forces. The Al Tawhid wal Jihad, the alleged Abu Mussab al-Zarqawi's terrorist cadre, is comprised of between 1,000-1,500 fighters, a third of whom are foreigners. This movement is divided into seven zones: Mosul, Anbar, Baghdad, Samara, Al Diayli, Al Qum, and Falluja. The suicide attacks in Iraq since March 2003 have killed more than 700 people. This is more than were killed in Israel in four years (475 victims in 112 attacks). The guerrilla cells have kidnapped more than 150 foreigners. Most have been sold for ransom, but 28 were killed by their abductors....